Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036693 0.039637 0.042727 0.046218 0.050056 0.054155 0.058871
2025-03-23 0.031652 0.035760 0.040309 0.045742 0.052078 0.059264 0.068074
2025-03-30 0.028255 0.033002 0.038476 0.045295 0.053617 0.063514 0.076283
2025-04-06 0.025485 0.030556 0.036591 0.044368 0.054217 0.066397 0.082794
2025-04-13 0.023952 0.029384 0.036033 0.044865 0.056428 0.071247 0.091998
2025-04-20 0.022469 0.028113 0.035190 0.044840 0.057848 0.075056 0.100020
2025-04-27 0.021452 0.027330 0.034869 0.045402 0.059997 0.079893 0.109757
2025-05-04 0.020264 0.026226 0.034021 0.045152 0.060954 0.083081 0.117331
2025-05-11 0.019248 0.025274 0.033297 0.044984 0.061959 0.086340 0.125203
2025-05-18 0.018305 0.024357 0.032550 0.044707 0.062744 0.089276 0.132761
2025-05-25 0.017513 0.023597 0.031964 0.044601 0.063736 0.092543 0.141054
2025-06-01 0.016619 0.022644 0.031044 0.043933 0.063813 0.094370 0.147120
2025-06-08 0.015720 0.021646 0.030017 0.043058 0.063528 0.095633 0.152409
2025-06-15 0.015020 0.020900 0.029318 0.042633 0.063907 0.097967 0.159711
2025-06-22 0.014379 0.020209 0.028661 0.042224 0.064270 0.100273 0.167132
2025-06-29 0.013671 0.019383 0.027759 0.041373 0.063845 0.101203 0.172116
2025-07-06 0.013346 0.019117 0.027687 0.041830 0.065596 0.105945 0.184549
2025-07-13 0.012925 0.018683 0.027335 0.041807 0.066523 0.109298 0.194639
2025-07-20 0.012658 0.018474 0.027318 0.042324 0.068398 0.114454 0.208729
2025-07-27 0.012238 0.018006 0.026869 0.042094 0.068941 0.117212 0.218256
2025-08-03 0.011859 0.017588 0.026481 0.041940 0.069601 0.120217 0.228565
2025-08-10 0.011481 0.017155 0.026048 0.041685 0.070056 0.122852 0.238333
2025-08-17 0.011157 0.016795 0.025718 0.041587 0.070787 0.126058 0.249641